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April 1st, 2010 High Growth Potential vs. Execution |
Historically our angel investment criteria have always focused on the ability of a management team to prove they can deliver on a high growth business concept. Our return on investment has been tied to the entrepreneur’s ability to produce the revenue and profit growth needed to create enterprise value. Our exit has always been seen as some multiple of the net profit which the venture can generate, whether this be immediate past or near future, captured in an IPO or trade sale – but always through the efforts of the venture itself.
What we have failed to do is to see two different paths to value creation, one from high growth potential itself and the other through the execution of that potential. In fact, we would have walked away from many deals where the product or service itself was capable of generating high growth but the entrepreneurial team was judged inadequate to execute on the potential. Without the team, there will be no proof of concept, therefore no value creation and thus no chance of a good exit.
However, high growth potential itself has value in its own right separate from high growth execution. Basically, we just need to go find someone else who can execute on the potential. In the case of most high growth potential products and services, this would be a strategic trade sale. We should position these ventures for a trade sale to a large corporation which had the capacity and capability to readily exploit the underlying asset or capability and thus execute on the potential. To prepare the venture for this type of exit might be as simple as sorting out the IP. In other cases, we would have to establish some reference sites and collect some market data. What we don’t have to do is grow a reasonable size enterprise. Rather than walk away from the venture investment, we should see it as a chance for the entrepreneur and the investors to capture value through an early strategic trade sale.
An entrepreneurial team capable of high growth execution is rare. All too often we have undertaken an investment based on high growth potential hoping the team will be able to learn quickly and, with our knowledge and support, overcome any deficiencies in their experience. Our track record of failures would suggest that this model is somewhat suboptimal. We end up with most ventures either failing or delivering small returns. It is only the exceptional ones which result in the 10+ multiple of capital injected.
The other problem we face is that high growth execution, by its very nature, often requires additional rounds of funding. This usually dilutes the original investment, often at lower valuations, but also puts the venture at risk through funding delays or inability to raise additional funds.
We should, in the future, embark on a two pronged approach to investment. Of course, we still want to focus on high growth potential. However, instead of excluding those where the entrepreneurial team is less able to execute, we should fast track those to a strategic exit which can usually be readily achieved by putting a deal team around the venture and limiting the funding to exit activities. Those few ventures which are capable of high growth execution can then be treated very differently and a full growth plan developed with an IPO or longer term trade sale as the exit.
The advantage of this approach is that we will end up funding more ventures with many of them being smaller investments with low execution risk and short exit horizons. Our success rate on high growth execution ventures will improve as we limit investment to those which have both high growth potential and the ability to execute on that potential.
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